Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Columbus Crew II vs New York City II

Columbus Crew II vs New York City II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 22:00

Columbus Crew II

PPG 2.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

New York City II

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.3%0-23.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.5%1-110.2%1-26.1%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.8%2-25.9%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.2%3-16.2%3-23.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-14.6%4+-22.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% 48.8% 2.05 +8.8%

Draw 22.8% 30.3% 3.30 -14.9%

Away win 24.1% 34.5% 2.90 -18.1%

Over 2.5 63.1% 69.4% 1.44 -9.1%

Over 3.5 38.8% 50.8% 1.97 -23.6%

BTTS 61.6% 73.5% 1.36 -16.2%

Home O1.5 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Away O1.5 36.1% 50.8% 1.97 -28.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 28.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.6%

H 53% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Columbus Crew II1.9

New York City II1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

COLUMBUS CREW II · PPG 2.30

NEW YORK CITY II · PPG 1.30

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.71 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Columbus Crew II (H) 53.1%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +8.8%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -14.9%

New York City II (A) 24.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Columbus Crew II face New York City II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Columbus Crew II a 53% chance, the draw 23% and New York City II 24%, so Columbus Crew II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Columbus Crew II and 1.2 for New York City II (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Columbus Crew II are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.30 for New York City II.

Columbus Crew II vs New York City II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - MLS Next Pro Predictions