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Huntsville City vs Crown Legacy Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 00:00

Huntsville City

PPG 1.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

Crown Legacy

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 69.4% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-13.3%0-24.0%0-33.2%0-4+3.5%1 1-02.5%1-16.1%1-27.5%1-36.1%1-4+6.6%2 2-02.4%2-15.8%2-27.0%2-35.7%2-4+6.2%3 3-01.5%3-13.6%3-24.4%3-33.6%3-4+3.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.6%4+-23.1%4+-32.6%4+-4+2.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.9% 32.3% 3.10 -4.4%

Draw 21.2% 27.8% 3.60 -14.2%

Away win 49.0% 54.1% 1.85 -9.3%

Over 2.5 68.3% 66.7% 1.50 +2.5%

Over 3.5 47.2% 48.1% 2.08 -1.8%

BTTS 69.4% 71.4% 1.40 -2.8%

Home O1.5 54.6% 45.5% 2.20 +20.1%

Away O1.5 64.9% 63.7% 1.57 +1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 28.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob69.4%

A 49% / xG 1.9-2.4 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.5%

#2 1–1 6.1%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.1%

#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huntsville City1.9

Crown Legacy2.4

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNTSVILLE CITY · PPG 1.30

CROWN LEGACY · PPG 1.73

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Huntsville City (H) 29.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.4%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -14.2%

Crown Legacy (A) 49.0%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -9.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huntsville City face Crown Legacy in USA - MLS Next Pro on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huntsville City a 30% chance, the draw 21% and Crown Legacy 49%, so Crown Legacy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Huntsville City and 2.4 for Crown Legacy (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huntsville City are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.73 for Crown Legacy. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +23.2%.

Huntsville City vs Crown Legacy Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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