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Atlanta United II vs New York RB II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 20:00

Atlanta United II

PPG 2.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

New York RB II

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.8%0-22.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.0%1-17.0%1-25.0%1-32.4%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.2%2-18.8%2-26.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.2%3-17.3%3-25.2%3-32.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-18.3%4+-25.9%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.8% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 28.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.3%

H 56% / xG 2.5-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 3–1 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.3%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlanta United II2.5

New York RB II1.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLANTA UNITED II · PPG 2.10

NEW YORK RB II · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.08 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atlanta United II (H) 55.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

New York RB II (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlanta United II face New York RB II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlanta United II a 56% chance, the draw 21% and New York RB II 23%, so Atlanta United II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Atlanta United II and 1.4 for New York RB II (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlanta United II are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.36 for New York RB II.

Atlanta United II vs New York RB II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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