Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Austin II vs Sporting KC II
Austin II vs Sporting KC II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 00:30
// Model verdict
Home Over 1.5
Model probability 80.3% vs bookmaker-implied 70.9% — a clear edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 35 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 75% / xG 3.4-0.9 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 61%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%
Form & verdict
AUSTIN II · PPG 2.00
SPORTING KC II · PPG 0.89
xG gap +2.57 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.89 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Austin II face Sporting KC II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austin II a 75% chance, the draw 16% and Sporting KC II 9%, so Austin II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Austin II and 0.9 for Sporting KC II (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austin II are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.89 for Sporting KC II. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 1-0.