Today / Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B / Gualaceo SC vs Atletico FC

Gualaceo SC vs Atletico FC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 20:30

Gualaceo SC

PPG 1.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico FC

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.3%0-113.0%0-24.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.4%1-112.4%1-24.0%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.2%2-15.9%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.9%3-11.9%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% — — —

Draw 32.6% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.6%

H 44% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.3%

#2 1–0 19.4%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 0–1 13.0%

#5 2–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gualaceo SC1.0

Atletico FC0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GUALACEO SC · PPG 1.70

ATLETICO FC · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.31, combined xG 1.60 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gualaceo SC (H) 43.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico FC (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gualaceo SC face Atletico FC in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gualaceo SC a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Atletico FC 24%, so Gualaceo SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gualaceo SC and 0.6 for Atletico FC (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gualaceo SC are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.30 for Atletico FC.

Gualaceo SC vs Atletico FC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B Predictions