Today / Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B / El Nacional vs San Antonio
El Nacional vs San Antonio Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B
Matchday 21 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 20:30
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 33% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.2% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%
Form & verdict
EL NACIONAL · PPG 0.70
SAN ANTONIO · PPG 0.90
xG gap -0.01, combined xG 2.03 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
El Nacional face San Antonio in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Nacional a 37% chance, the draw 33% and San Antonio 30%, so El Nacional are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for El Nacional and 1.0 for San Antonio (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Nacional are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.90 for San Antonio.