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San Antonio vs Gualaceo SC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 20 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 20:30

San Antonio

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gualaceo SC

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-18.9%0-22.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.8%1-111.8%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.5%2-17.8%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-13.4%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 38.3% — — —

Over 3.5 21.7% — — —

BTTS 45.7% — — —

Home O1.5 37.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.7%

H 51% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.8%

#2 0–0 14.2%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 2–0 12.5%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Antonio1.3

Gualaceo SC0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN ANTONIO · PPG 1.67

GUALACEO SC · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

San Antonio (H) 50.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gualaceo SC (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Antonio face Gualaceo SC in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Antonio a 51% chance, the draw 28% and Gualaceo SC 21%, so San Antonio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for San Antonio and 0.6 for Gualaceo SC (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Antonio are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.89 for Gualaceo SC.

San Antonio vs Gualaceo SC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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