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9 de Octubre vs Ind. Juniors Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:30

9 de Octubre

PPG 2.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ind. Juniors

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-110.3%0-23.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.5%1-112.4%1-24.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.1%2-17.4%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.4%3-13.0%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 22.7% — — —

Over 2.5 37.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.2% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 31.7% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.5%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.4%

#2 1–0 18.5%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

9 de Octubre1.2

Ind. Juniors0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

9 DE OCTUBRE · PPG 2.30

IND. JUNIORS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

9 de Octubre (H) 46.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ind. Juniors (A) 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

9 de Octubre face Ind. Juniors in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 9 de Octubre a 47% chance, the draw 30% and Ind. Juniors 23%, so 9 de Octubre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for 9 de Octubre and 0.7 for Ind. Juniors (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 9 de Octubre are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.50 for Ind. Juniors.

9 de Octubre vs Ind. Juniors Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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