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Ind. Juniors vs 22 de Julio Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 20 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 20:30

Ind. Juniors

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

22 de Julio

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.09 for Home, form 2.11 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-12.1%0-20.4%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.3%1-15.1%1-20.9%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.6%2-16.2%2-21.0%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.1%3-15.0%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-016.3%4+-15.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.0% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 8.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 44.9% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob44.9%

H 75% / xG 2.4-0.3 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 18.6%

#2 3–0 15.1%

#3 1–0 15.3%

#4 4–0 9.2%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ind. Juniors2.4

22 de Julio0.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

IND. JUNIORS · PPG 2.11

22 DE JULIO · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.09 for Home, form 2.11 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ind. Juniors (H) 75.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

22 de Julio (A) 8.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ind. Juniors face 22 de Julio in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ind. Juniors a 75% chance, the draw 17% and 22 de Julio 8%, so Ind. Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Ind. Juniors and 0.3 for 22 de Julio (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ind. Juniors are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 0.44 for 22 de Julio.

Ind. Juniors vs 22 de Julio Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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