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Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Cuniburo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 19:00

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Cuniburo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-19.3%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.0%1-112.4%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-18.2%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-13.7%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% 50.0% 2.00 -0.8%

Draw 27.4% 33.3% 3.00 -10.7%

Away win 23.0% 29.4% 3.40 -13.1%

Over 2.5 44.0% 42.0% 2.38 +4.7%

Over 3.5 22.0% 23.3% 4.30 -3.2%

BTTS 48.4% 50.3% 1.99 -3.7%

Home O1.5 37.4% 43.1% 2.32 -13.2%

Away O1.5 17.4% 27.3% 3.66 -21.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.0%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1.3

Cuniburo0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS · PPG 2.00

CUNIBURO · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (H) 49.6%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -0.8%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.7%

Cuniburo (A) 23.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors face Cuniburo in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cuenca Juniors a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Cuniburo 23%, so Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors and 0.7 for Cuniburo (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Cuniburo. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.7%. This match finished 0-2.

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Cuniburo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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