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Cuniburo vs LDU Portoviejo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 21 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 20:30

Cuniburo

PPG 1.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

LDU Portoviejo

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 1.70 vs 0.40 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-13.7%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.8%1-17.9%1-22.1%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.8%2-18.4%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.2%3-16.0%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-15.2%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 14.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob47.7%

H 64% / xG 2.1-0.5 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.8%

#2 1–0 14.8%

#3 3–0 11.2%

#4 1–1 7.9%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cuniburo2.1

LDU Portoviejo0.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CUNIBURO · PPG 1.70

LDU PORTOVIEJO · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 1.70 vs 0.40 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Cuniburo (H) 64.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

LDU Portoviejo (A) 14.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cuniburo face LDU Portoviejo in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cuniburo a 64% chance, the draw 21% and LDU Portoviejo 15%, so Cuniburo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Cuniburo and 0.5 for LDU Portoviejo (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cuniburo are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.40 for LDU Portoviejo.

Cuniburo vs LDU Portoviejo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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