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22 de Julio vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 21 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 20:00

22 de Julio

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.1%0-115.4%0-26.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.5%1-113.2%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.6%2-15.7%2-22.4%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.9%3-11.6%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 32.0% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob44.6%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.1%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 15.5%

#4 0–1 15.4%

#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

22 de Julio0.9

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

22 DE JULIO · PPG 1.10

DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.01, combined xG 1.71 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

22 de Julio (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (A) 32.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

22 de Julio face Deportivo Cuenca Juniors in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 22 de Julio a 35% chance, the draw 33% and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 32%, so 22 de Julio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for 22 de Julio and 0.9 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 22 de Julio are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.30 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors.

22 de Julio vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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