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Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 21 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 20:30

Cumbayá

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santo Domingo

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.2%0-110.5%0-22.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.9%1-110.3%1-22.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.7%2-15.1%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.9%3-11.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 32.2% — — —

Away win 21.5% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 11.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 46% / xG 1.0-0.4 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.2%

#2 1–0 23.9%

#3 1–1 10.3%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cumbayá1.0

Santo Domingo0.4

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CUMBAYÁ · PPG 1.50

SANTO DOMINGO · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cumbayá (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santo Domingo (A) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cumbayá face Santo Domingo in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cumbayá a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Santo Domingo 22%, so Cumbayá are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cumbayá and 0.4 for Santo Domingo (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cumbayá are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.70 for Santo Domingo.

Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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