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LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbayá Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 16:45

LDU Portoviejo

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Cumbayá

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-113.3%0-24.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.3%1-112.8%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.8%2-16.1%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-11.9%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 46.5% 2.15 -14.9%

Draw 34.7% 33.3% 3.00 +4.1%

Away win 25.7% 32.3% 3.10 -12.2%

Over 2.5 34.8% 40.0% 2.50 -13.0%

Over 3.5 16.7% 24.4% 4.10 -18.9%

BTTS 45.5% 53.2% 1.88 -14.5%

Home O1.5 32.1% 39.8% 2.51 -19.4%

Away O1.5 17.4% 32.3% 3.10 -27.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.5%

H 40% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 19.1%

#2 1–0 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–1 13.3%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LDU Portoviejo1.0

Cumbayá0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LDU PORTOVIEJO · PPG 2.00

CUMBAYÁ · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 1.65 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

LDU Portoviejo (H) 39.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -14.9%

Draw 34.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +4.1%

Cumbayá (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -12.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

LDU Portoviejo face Cumbayá in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LDU Portoviejo a 40% chance, the draw 35% and Cumbayá 26%, so LDU Portoviejo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for LDU Portoviejo and 0.7 for Cumbayá (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LDU Portoviejo are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Cumbayá. This match finished 0-0.

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbayá Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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