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Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Ayacucho FC Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:00

Bentín Tacna Heroica

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ayacucho FC

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-110.0%0-23.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.3%1-112.1%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-17.3%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.7%3-12.9%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% — — —

Draw 28.8% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 19.7% — — —

BTTS 47.0% — — —

Home O1.5 33.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.0%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%

#2 1–0 19.3%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bentín Tacna Heroica1.2

Ayacucho FC0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BENTÍN TACNA HEROICA · PPG 2.20

AYACUCHO FC · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bentín Tacna Heroica (H) 48.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ayacucho FC (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bentín Tacna Heroica face Ayacucho FC in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bentín Tacna Heroica a 49% chance, the draw 29% and Ayacucho FC 23%, so Bentín Tacna Heroica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bentín Tacna Heroica and 0.6 for Ayacucho FC (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bentín Tacna Heroica are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.60 for Ayacucho FC.

Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Ayacucho FC Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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