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Flamengo FBC W vs Sporting Cristal W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Clausura · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Flamengo FBC W

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sporting Cristal W

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.9%0-26.3%0-33.8%0-4+2.7%1 1-05.5%1-110.0%1-29.1%1-35.6%1-4+3.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.2%2-26.6%2-34.0%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.9%3-13.5%3-23.2%3-31.9%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.7%4+-21.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 45.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.6% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 50.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.5%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flamengo FBC W1.4

Sporting Cristal W1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FLAMENGO FBC W · PPG 1.43

SPORTING CRISTAL W · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Flamengo FBC W (H) 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sporting Cristal W (A) 45.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flamengo FBC W face Sporting Cristal W in Peru - Liga Women on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flamengo FBC W a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Sporting Cristal W 45%, so Sporting Cristal W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Flamengo FBC W and 1.8 for Sporting Cristal W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flamengo FBC W are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.44 for Sporting Cristal W.

Flamengo FBC W vs Sporting Cristal W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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