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Carlos Mannucci W vs UNSAAC W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 20:15

Carlos Mannucci W

PPG 0.83 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

UNSAAC W

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.4%0-24.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.8%1-111.5%1-27.6%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.1%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.6%3-14.7%3-23.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.6%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 29.0% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 60.2% — — —

Home O1.5 46.4% — — —

Away O1.5 41.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.2%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 0–0 5.6%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Carlos Mannucci W1.6

UNSAAC W1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CARLOS MANNUCCI W · PPG 0.83

UNSAAC W · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Carlos Mannucci W (H) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UNSAAC W (A) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Carlos Mannucci W face UNSAAC W in Peru - Liga Women on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carlos Mannucci W a 46% chance, the draw 25% and UNSAAC W 29%, so Carlos Mannucci W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Carlos Mannucci W and 1.3 for UNSAAC W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carlos Mannucci W are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.14 for UNSAAC W. This match finished 3-1.

Carlos Mannucci W vs UNSAAC W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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