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Atl. Andahuaylas W vs Killas W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 15:00

Atl. Andahuaylas W

PPG 2.14 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Killas W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-13.0%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.4%1-17.4%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.7%2-19.1%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.4%3-17.4%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-011.3%4+-18.1%4+-22.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.8% — — —

Draw 18.7% — — —

Away win 19.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.4% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob53.1%

H 62% / xG 2.4-0.7 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 12.7%

#2 3–0 10.4%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 1–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atl. Andahuaylas W2.4

Killas W0.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ATL. ANDAHUAYLAS W · PPG 2.14

KILLAS W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 2.14 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Atl. Andahuaylas W (H) 61.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Killas W (A) 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atl. Andahuaylas W face Killas W in Peru - Liga Women on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atl. Andahuaylas W a 62% chance, the draw 19% and Killas W 20%, so Atl. Andahuaylas W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Atl. Andahuaylas W and 0.7 for Killas W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atl. Andahuaylas W are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.00 for Killas W. This match finished 2-0.

Atl. Andahuaylas W vs Killas W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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