Today / Peru - Liga Women / Yanapuma W vs FBC Melgar W
Yanapuma W vs FBC Melgar W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women
Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 62% / xG 2.6-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%
Form & verdict
YANAPUMA W · PPG 2.50
FBC MELGAR W · PPG 1.17
xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Yanapuma W face FBC Melgar W in Peru - Liga Women on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yanapuma W a 62% chance, the draw 19% and FBC Melgar W 20%, so Yanapuma W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Yanapuma W and 1.2 for FBC Melgar W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yanapuma W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.17 for FBC Melgar W.