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Nautico Hacoaj vs Deportivo Metalurgico Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 11 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Nautico Hacoaj

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Metalurgico

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.7%0-118.0%0-28.2%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-014.0%1-112.8%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.0%2-14.5%2-22.1%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.7% — — —

Draw 30.3% — — —

Away win 42.9% — — —

Over 2.5 42.1% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 24.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

A 43% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.7%

#2 0–1 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 1–0 14.0%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nautico Hacoaj0.7

Deportivo Metalurgico0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.1% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NAUTICO HACOAJ · PPG 1.60

DEPORTIVO METALURGICO · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 1.62 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Nautico Hacoaj (H) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Metalurgico (A) 42.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nautico Hacoaj face Deportivo Metalurgico in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nautico Hacoaj a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Deportivo Metalurgico 43%, so Deportivo Metalurgico are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Nautico Hacoaj and 0.9 for Deportivo Metalurgico (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nautico Hacoaj are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.60 for Deportivo Metalurgico.

Nautico Hacoaj vs Deportivo Metalurgico Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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