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Everton La Plata vs Las Mandarinas Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 14 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00

Everton La Plata

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Las Mandarinas

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.0%0-117.8%0-27.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.5%1-112.5%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.5%2-14.4%2-21.8%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.3%3-11.0%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% — — —

Draw 34.5% — — —

Away win 34.8% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.6%

D 34% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.0%

#2 0–1 17.8%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 15.5%

#5 0–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Everton La Plata0.7

Las Mandarinas0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EVERTON LA PLATA · PPG 1.00

LAS MANDARINAS · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.10, combined xG 1.51 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Everton La Plata (H) 30.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Las Mandarinas (A) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Everton La Plata face Las Mandarinas in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Everton La Plata a 31% chance, the draw 35% and Las Mandarinas 35%, so Las Mandarinas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Everton La Plata and 0.8 for Las Mandarinas (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Everton La Plata are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Las Mandarinas.

Everton La Plata vs Las Mandarinas Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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