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Buenos Aires City vs Belgrano Zarate Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 14 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 17:00

Buenos Aires City

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Belgrano Zarate

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.5%0-111.0%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.8%1-111.8%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.1%2-16.3%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.0%3-12.2%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 34.3% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.6%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.5%

#2 1–0 20.8%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 0–1 11.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buenos Aires City1.1

Belgrano Zarate0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.3% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BUENOS AIRES CITY · PPG 2.00

BELGRANO ZARATE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Buenos Aires City (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Belgrano Zarate (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buenos Aires City face Belgrano Zarate in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buenos Aires City a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Belgrano Zarate 22%, so Buenos Aires City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Buenos Aires City and 0.6 for Belgrano Zarate (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buenos Aires City are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Belgrano Zarate.

Buenos Aires City vs Belgrano Zarate Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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