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Juventud de Bernal vs Atletico Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 10 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 17:00

Juventud de Bernal

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico Pilar

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.67 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-111.7%0-29.7%0-35.4%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.0%1-111.6%1-29.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.5%2-15.8%2-24.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.9%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 55.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob54.5%

A 55% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 0–1 11.7%

#3 0–2 9.7%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventud de Bernal1.0

Atletico Pilar1.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUD DE BERNAL · PPG 0.00

ATLETICO PILAR · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.67 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Juventud de Bernal (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico Pilar (A) 55.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventud de Bernal face Atletico Pilar in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventud de Bernal a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Atletico Pilar 55%, so Atletico Pilar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Juventud de Bernal and 1.7 for Atletico Pilar (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventud de Bernal are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Atletico Pilar.

Juventud de Bernal vs Atletico Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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