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Bate Borisov vs FC Vitebsk Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 17:00

Bate Borisov

PPG 0.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Vitebsk

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.9%0-116.9%0-29.0%0-33.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.3%1-113.1%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.8%2-15.1%2-22.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.2%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.0% 33.2% 3.01 -11.2%

Draw 30.9% 25.0% 4.00 +23.6%

Away win 42.1% 49.3% 2.03 -14.5%

Over 2.5 37.2% 54.9% 1.82 -32.3%

Over 3.5 21.0% 34.5% 2.90 -23.5%

BTTS 47.7% 58.8% 1.70 -18.9%

Home O1.5 30.2% 36.4% 2.75 -17.0%

Away O1.5 33.5% 48.3% 2.07 -30.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -60.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.7%

A 42% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.9%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–1 16.9%

#4 1–0 12.3%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bate Borisov0.8

FC Vitebsk1.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.2% · O3.5 PROB 21.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BATE BORISOV · PPG 0.71

FC VITEBSK · PPG 1.33

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.29, combined xG 1.84 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bate Borisov (H) 27.0%

ODDS 3.01 · IMPLIED 33.2% EV -11.2%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +23.6%

FC Vitebsk (A) 42.1%

ODDS 2.03 · IMPLIED 49.3% EV -14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bate Borisov face FC Vitebsk in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bate Borisov a 27% chance, the draw 31% and FC Vitebsk 42%, so FC Vitebsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Bate Borisov and 1.1 for FC Vitebsk (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bate Borisov are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.33 for FC Vitebsk.

Bate Borisov vs FC Vitebsk Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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