Today / Belarus - Vysshaya Liga / FC Vitebsk vs Neman

FC Vitebsk vs Neman Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:10

FC Vitebsk

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Neman

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.9%0-113.6%0-25.8%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.6%1-113.4%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.7%2-16.6%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.5%3-12.2%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 27.6% 3.62 +39.4%

Draw 32.9% 32.5% 3.08 +1.3%

Away win 28.7% 47.2% 2.12 -23.5%

Over 2.5 43.6% 42.6% 2.35 +2.5%

Over 3.5 22.0% 23.8% 4.20 -4.6%

BTTS 48.4% 50.5% 1.98 -4.2%

Home O1.5 32.1% 27.5% 3.64 +16.8%

Away O1.5 20.9% 41.5% 2.41 -29.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -60.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

D 33% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.9%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0✓ 15.6%

#4 0–1 13.6%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Vitebsk1.0

Neman0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FC VITEBSK · PPG 1.57

NEMAN · PPG 1.57

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.13, combined xG 1.84 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC Vitebsk (H) 38.5%

ODDS 3.62 · IMPLIED 27.6% EV +39.4%

Draw 32.9%

ODDS 3.08 · IMPLIED 32.5% EV +1.3%

Neman (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -23.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Vitebsk face Neman in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Vitebsk a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Neman 29%, so FC Vitebsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for FC Vitebsk and 0.9 for Neman (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Vitebsk are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.57 for Neman. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +16.8%. This match finished 1-0.

FC Vitebsk vs Neman Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belarus - Vysshaya Liga Predictions