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Torpedo Zhodino vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:10

Torpedo Zhodino

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dinamo Brest

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-110.3%0-26.4%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.4%1-112.9%1-27.9%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.5%2-18.0%2-25.0%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.7%3-13.3%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% 40.0% 2.50 -4.5%

Draw 27.4% 34.7% 2.88 -12.7%

Away win 34.5% 38.2% 2.62 -9.6%

Over 2.5 52.7% 46.9% 2.13 +12.3%

Over 3.5 30.2% 27.6% 3.62 +9.3%

BTTS 54.6% 54.1% 1.85 +1.0%

Home O1.5 35.2% 37.9% 2.64 -7.1%

Away O1.5 35.7% 36.9% 2.71 -3.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -60.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.3%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 0–1✓ 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torpedo Zhodino1.2

Dinamo Brest1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TORPEDO ZHODINO · PPG 1.33

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.75

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.01, combined xG 2.48 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torpedo Zhodino (H) 38.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -4.5%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -12.7%

Dinamo Brest (A) 34.5%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torpedo Zhodino face Dinamo Brest in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torpedo Zhodino a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Dinamo Brest 35%, so Torpedo Zhodino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.2 for Dinamo Brest (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torpedo Zhodino are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.75 for Dinamo Brest. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +17.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Torpedo Zhodino vs Dinamo Brest Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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