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Neman vs FC Minsk Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Neman

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Minsk

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-112.0%0-26.3%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.7%1-113.4%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.1%2-17.5%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.7%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 45.5% 2.20 -19.9%

Draw 27.8% 29.8% 3.36 -4.0%

Away win 35.8% 32.1% 3.12 +11.7%

Over 2.5 45.9% 50.3% 1.99 -8.7%

Over 3.5 27.1% 30.3% 3.30 -6.3%

BTTS 49.2% 56.5% 1.77 -12.9%

Home O1.5 30.2% 44.2% 2.26 -31.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 34.7% 2.88 -5.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -60.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

H 36% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 0–1 12.0%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Neman1.1

FC Minsk1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NEMAN · PPG 1.25

FC MINSK · PPG 1.62

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.06, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Neman (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -19.9%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.36 · IMPLIED 29.8% EV -4.0%

FC Minsk (A) 35.8%

ODDS 3.12 · IMPLIED 32.1% EV +11.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Neman face FC Minsk in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Neman a 36% chance, the draw 28% and FC Minsk 36%, so Neman are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Neman and 1.1 for FC Minsk (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Neman are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.62 for FC Minsk. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +0.9%.

Neman vs FC Minsk Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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