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Traiskirchen vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:30

Traiskirchen

PPG 1.66 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fach-Donaufeld

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.4%0-22.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-04.8%1-17.7%1-26.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.4%2-18.7%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-04.1%3-16.5%3-25.1%3-32.7%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-16.1%4+-24.9%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 26.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.4% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -35.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob64.3%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 1–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Traiskirchen2.2

Fach-Donaufeld1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAISKIRCHEN · PPG 1.66

FACH-DONAUFELD · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Traiskirchen (H) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fach-Donaufeld (A) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Traiskirchen face Fach-Donaufeld in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Traiskirchen a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Fach-Donaufeld 26%, so Traiskirchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Traiskirchen and 1.6 for Fach-Donaufeld (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Traiskirchen are averaging 1.66 points per game versus 1.42 for Fach-Donaufeld.

Traiskirchen vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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