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Wiener Viktoria vs Oberwart Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Wiener Viktoria

PPG 1.46 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oberwart

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.6%0-24.6%0-32.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.1%1-19.8%1-27.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.3%2-18.5%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.1%3-14.9%3-24.0%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.2%4+-22.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 33.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.6% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -35.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 45% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener Viktoria1.7

Oberwart1.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER VIKTORIA · PPG 1.46

OBERWART · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wiener Viktoria (H) 44.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oberwart (A) 33.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener Viktoria face Oberwart in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener Viktoria a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Oberwart 33%, so Wiener Viktoria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wiener Viktoria and 1.6 for Oberwart (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener Viktoria are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.38 for Oberwart.

Wiener Viktoria vs Oberwart Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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