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Gloggnitz vs Krems / Rehberg Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Gloggnitz

PPG 1.99 · HOME

UPCOMING

Krems / Rehberg

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.1%0-23.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.3%1-111.7%1-26.1%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.6%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.1%3-15.3%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 23.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 52.4% — — —

Home O1.5 47.5% — — —

Away O1.5 32.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -35.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.4%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gloggnitz1.6

Krems / Rehberg1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GLOGGNITZ · PPG 1.99

KREMS / REHBERG · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gloggnitz (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Krems / Rehberg (A) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gloggnitz face Krems / Rehberg in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gloggnitz a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Krems / Rehberg 24%, so Gloggnitz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gloggnitz and 1.0 for Krems / Rehberg (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gloggnitz are averaging 1.99 points per game versus 1.38 for Krems / Rehberg.

Gloggnitz vs Krems / Rehberg Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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