Today / Austria - Regionalliga - Ost / Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Leobendorf

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Leobendorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf logo
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
PPG 1.79 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Leobendorf logo
Leobendorf
PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-14.3%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.4%1-19.2%1-24.1%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.9%3-17.0%3-23.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-16.1%4+-22.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 57.8%
Draw 21.7%
Away win 20.5%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 36.8%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5 61.4%
Away O1.5 23.9%

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 21%
ROI -35.2%
Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 58% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.1%
#2 1–1 9.2%
#3 2–1 9.8%
#4 1–0 10.4%
#5 3–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf2.1
Leobendorf0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF · PPG 1.79

LEOBENDORF · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (H) 57.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Leobendorf (A) 20.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf face Leobendorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Leobendorf 21%, so Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf and 0.9 for Leobendorf (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.62 for Leobendorf.

PredictVantage

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