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Wiener SC vs Gloggnitz Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 17:30

Wiener SC

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gloggnitz

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.0%0-24.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.2%1-111.5%1-27.1%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.3%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.1%3-15.1%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.0%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% 45.5% 2.20 -1.9%

Draw 26.7% 26.7% 3.75 +0.1%

Away win 28.7% 39.2% 2.55 -16.1%

Over 2.5 53.6% 65.4% 1.53 -18.0%

Over 3.5 31.8% 42.7% 2.34 -25.6%

BTTS 54.5% 69.4% 1.44 -21.5%

Home O1.5 47.2% 53.8% 1.86 -12.2%

Away O1.5 36.6% 49.0% 2.04 -25.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -35.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.5%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC1.6

Gloggnitz1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 1.89

GLOGGNITZ · PPG 1.82

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 44.6%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.9%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +0.1%

Gloggnitz (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -16.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face Gloggnitz in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Gloggnitz 29%, so Wiener SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Wiener SC and 1.2 for Gloggnitz (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.82 for Gloggnitz.

Wiener SC vs Gloggnitz Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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