Today / Mexico - Liga MX U21 / Atl. San Luis U21 vs Club Tijuana U21
Atl. San Luis U21 vs Club Tijuana U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21
Regular Season - 3 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 46% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%
Form & verdict
ATL. SAN LUIS U21 · PPG 1.48
CLUB TIJUANA U21 · PPG 0.95
xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Atl. San Luis U21 face Club Tijuana U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atl. San Luis U21 a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Club Tijuana U21 29%, so Atl. San Luis U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Atl. San Luis U21 and 1.5 for Club Tijuana U21 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atl. San Luis U21 are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 0.95 for Club Tijuana U21.