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Queretaro U21 vs Tigres UANL U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Regular Season - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Queretaro U21

PPG 0.94 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tigres UANL U21

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.06, combined xG 2.41 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-111.1%0-26.8%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.6%1-113.0%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.2%2-17.7%2-24.7%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

D 29% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.0%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queretaro U211.2

Tigres UANL U211.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

QUERETARO U21 · PPG 0.94

TIGRES UANL U21 · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.06, combined xG 2.41 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Queretaro U21 (H) 36.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tigres UANL U21 (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Queretaro U21 face Tigres UANL U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queretaro U21 a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Tigres UANL U21 34%, so Queretaro U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Queretaro U21 and 1.2 for Tigres UANL U21 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queretaro U21 are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.04 for Tigres UANL U21.

Queretaro U21 vs Tigres UANL U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Match Preview & Prediction

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