Today / Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia

Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia Prediction

Group I - 30 ·Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Milazzo

PPG 1.93 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Vigor Lamezia

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=50.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-17.4%0-23.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.4%1-111.8%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.2%2-19.5%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.9%3-15.1%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 49.3% — — —

Over 3.5 27.4% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 50% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 2–1 9.5%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 0–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milazzo1.6

Vigor Lamezia1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.3% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MILAZZO · PPG 1.93

VIGOR LAMEZIA · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=50.5%

Win probability 1X2

Milazzo (H) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vigor Lamezia (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milazzo face Vigor Lamezia on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milazzo a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Vigor Lamezia 25%, so Milazzo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Milazzo and 1.0 for Vigor Lamezia (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milazzo are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.93 for Vigor Lamezia. This match finished 0-0.

Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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