Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group C / SJK-juniorit vs GBK

SJK-juniorit vs GBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

SJK-juniorit

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

GBK

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 70.3% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.8%0-23.9%0-32.6%0-4+2.1%1 1-03.7%1-17.4%1-27.5%1-35.1%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.3%3-14.7%3-24.7%3-33.2%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.6%4+-23.6%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% 32.8% 3.05 +18.3%

Draw 21.5% 25.3% 3.95 -9.0%

Away win 39.7% 55.2% 1.81 -28.1%

Over 2.5 67.0% 87.0% 1.15 -22.9%

Over 3.5 46.4% 70.9% 1.41 -34.6%

BTTS 70.3% 83.3% 1.20 -15.6%

Home O1.5 53.6% 65.4% 1.53 -18.0%

Away O1.5 50.0% 73.5% 1.36 -32.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob70.3%

A 40% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%

#2 1–2 7.5%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK-juniorit1.9

GBK2.0

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK-JUNIORIT · PPG 1.43

GBK · PPG 1.86

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SJK-juniorit (H) 38.8%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +18.3%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -9.0%

GBK (A) 39.7%

ODDS 1.81 · IMPLIED 55.2% EV -28.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK-juniorit face GBK in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK-juniorit a 39% chance, the draw 22% and GBK 40%, so GBK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for SJK-juniorit and 2.0 for GBK (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK-juniorit are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.86 for GBK.

SJK-juniorit vs GBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions