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Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Gretna 2008

PPG 0.84 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cumbernauld Colts

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.3%0-24.6%0-33.2%0-4+2.8%1 1-03.6%1-17.7%1-28.1%1-35.7%1-4+4.9%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.2%2-35.1%2-4+4.4%3 3-01.9%3-14.0%3-24.3%3-33.0%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.7%4+-22.8%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 45.5% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 46.7% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 56.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.3%

A 46% / xG 1.8-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 8.1%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gretna 20081.8

Cumbernauld Colts2.1

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GRETNA 2008 · PPG 0.84

CUMBERNAULD COLTS · PPG 1.03

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gretna 2008 (H) 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cumbernauld Colts (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gretna 2008 face Cumbernauld Colts in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gretna 2008 a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Cumbernauld Colts 46%, so Cumbernauld Colts are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Gretna 2008 and 2.1 for Cumbernauld Colts (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gretna 2008 are averaging 0.84 points per game versus 1.03 for Cumbernauld Colts.

Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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