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Linlithgow Rose vs Gala Fairydean Rovers Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Linlithgow Rose

PPG 1.65 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Gala Fairydean Rovers

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.9%0-22.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.2%1-110.8%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.3%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.3%3-16.0%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-14.2%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 30.1% — — —

BTTS 51.7% — — —

Home O1.5 54.0% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.7%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.2%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Linlithgow Rose1.8

Gala Fairydean Rovers1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 30.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LINLITHGOW ROSE · PPG 1.65

GALA FAIRYDEAN ROVERS · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Linlithgow Rose (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gala Fairydean Rovers (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Linlithgow Rose face Gala Fairydean Rovers in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Linlithgow Rose a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Gala Fairydean Rovers 21%, so Linlithgow Rose are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Linlithgow Rose and 1.0 for Gala Fairydean Rovers (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Linlithgow Rose are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.35 for Gala Fairydean Rovers. This match finished 5-0.

Linlithgow Rose vs Gala Fairydean Rovers Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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