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Stirling University vs Tranent Juniors Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Stirling University

PPG 0.91 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Tranent Juniors

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-112.7%0-211.0%0-36.4%0-4+4.1%1 1-06.4%1-111.2%1-29.7%1-35.6%1-4+3.6%2 2-02.8%2-14.9%2-24.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.8%3-11.4%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.9% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 49.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob49.6%

A 49% / xG 0.9-1.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 0–1 12.7%

#3 0–2 11.0%

#4 1–2✓ 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stirling University0.9

Tranent Juniors1.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STIRLING UNIVERSITY · PPG 0.91

TRANENT JUNIORS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.86 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Stirling University (H) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tranent Juniors (A) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stirling University face Tranent Juniors in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stirling University a 24% chance, the draw 27% and Tranent Juniors 49%, so Tranent Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Stirling University and 1.7 for Tranent Juniors (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stirling University are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 2.00 for Tranent Juniors. This match finished 1-2.

Stirling University vs Tranent Juniors Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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