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East Stirlingshire vs Stirling University Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

East Stirlingshire

PPG 0.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stirling University

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.4%0-22.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-03.3%1-16.0%1-25.5%1-33.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.1%2-17.5%2-26.9%2-34.2%2-4+2.9%3 3-03.4%3-16.3%3-25.7%3-33.5%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-17.1%4+-26.5%4+-34.0%4+-4+2.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 28.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 46.2% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 49.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 2.5-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 1–1 6.0%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

East Stirlingshire2.5

Stirling University1.8

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EAST STIRLINGSHIRE · PPG 0.90

STIRLING UNIVERSITY · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

East Stirlingshire (H) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stirling University (A) 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

East Stirlingshire face Stirling University in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives East Stirlingshire a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Stirling University 28%, so East Stirlingshire are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for East Stirlingshire and 1.8 for Stirling University (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, East Stirlingshire are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 1.14 for Stirling University.

East Stirlingshire vs Stirling University Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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