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Berwick Rangers vs Stirling University Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Berwick Rangers

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stirling University

PPG 0.95 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.1%0-23.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.6%1-19.9%1-26.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.6%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.8%3-16.2%3-24.0%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.7%4+-23.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 37.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.5%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.4%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Berwick Rangers1.9

Stirling University1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BERWICK RANGERS · PPG 1.17

STIRLING UNIVERSITY · PPG 0.95

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Berwick Rangers (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stirling University (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Berwick Rangers face Stirling University in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berwick Rangers a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Stirling University 27%, so Berwick Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Berwick Rangers and 1.3 for Stirling University (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berwick Rangers are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.95 for Stirling University.

Berwick Rangers vs Stirling University Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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