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Albion Rovers vs Caledonian Braves Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Albion Rovers

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Caledonian Braves

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-15.0%0-25.7%0-34.4%0-4+4.4%1 1-03.3%1-17.6%1-28.8%1-36.8%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.5%2-15.8%2-26.7%2-35.2%2-4+5.1%3 3-01.3%3-13.0%3-23.4%3-32.6%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.6%4+-21.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.5% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 48.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.3%

A 49% / xG 1.5-2.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.8%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 1–3 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Albion Rovers1.5

Caledonian Braves2.3

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ALBION ROVERS · PPG 1.36

CALEDONIAN BRAVES · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.78 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Albion Rovers (H) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Caledonian Braves (A) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Albion Rovers face Caledonian Braves in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Albion Rovers a 30% chance, the draw 22% and Caledonian Braves 49%, so Caledonian Braves are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Albion Rovers and 2.3 for Caledonian Braves (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Albion Rovers are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.91 for Caledonian Braves.

Albion Rovers vs Caledonian Braves Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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