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Bo'ness United vs Civil Service Strollers Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Bo'ness United logo
Bo'ness United
PPG 1.07 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Civil Service Strollers logo
Civil Service Strollers
PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.3%0-24.5%0-33.1%0-4+2.6%1 1-03.8%1-17.8%1-28.0%1-35.5%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.4%2-17.0%2-27.2%2-35.0%2-4+4.2%3 3-02.0%3-14.2%3-24.3%3-33.0%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.8%4+-22.9%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.1%
Draw 22.5%
Away win 43.4%
Over 2.5 63.8%
Over 3.5 43.0%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5 49.2%
Away O1.5 54.7%

League track record

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 33%
Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.0%

A 43% / xG 1.8-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%
#2 1–2 8.0%
#3 2–2 7.2%
#4 2–1 7.0%
#5 1–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bo'ness United1.8
Civil Service Strollers2.1

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BO'NESS UNITED · PPG 1.07

CIVIL SERVICE STROLLERS · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bo'ness United (H) 34.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Civil Service Strollers (A) 43.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bo'ness United face Civil Service Strollers in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bo'ness United a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Civil Service Strollers 43%, so Civil Service Strollers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bo'ness United and 2.1 for Civil Service Strollers (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bo'ness United are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.25 for Civil Service Strollers. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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