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Civil Service Strollers vs Cowdenbeath Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Civil Service Strollers

PPG 1.63 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cowdenbeath

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-16.0%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.1%1-110.8%1-25.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.1%3-16.0%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.1%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.9% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 50.9% — — —

Away O1.5 28.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 54% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Civil Service Strollers1.8

Cowdenbeath1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CIVIL SERVICE STROLLERS · PPG 1.63

COWDENBEATH · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Civil Service Strollers (H) 53.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cowdenbeath (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Civil Service Strollers face Cowdenbeath in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Civil Service Strollers a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Cowdenbeath 23%, so Civil Service Strollers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Civil Service Strollers and 1.0 for Cowdenbeath (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Civil Service Strollers are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.91 for Cowdenbeath.

Civil Service Strollers vs Cowdenbeath Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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