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Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bo'ness United Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Regular Season ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Gala Fairydean Rovers

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bo'ness United

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-15.6%0-23.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.9%1-110.5%1-26.1%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.2%3-16.1%3-23.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.4%4+-22.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.8% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.0%

H 53% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gala Fairydean Rovers1.9

Bo'ness United1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GALA FAIRYDEAN ROVERS · PPG 1.36

BO'NESS UNITED · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gala Fairydean Rovers (H) 52.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bo'ness United (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gala Fairydean Rovers face Bo'ness United in Scotland - Football League - Lowland League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gala Fairydean Rovers a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Bo'ness United 24%, so Gala Fairydean Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gala Fairydean Rovers and 1.2 for Bo'ness United (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gala Fairydean Rovers are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.10 for Bo'ness United.

Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bo'ness United Prediction— Scotland - Football League - Lowland League

Match Preview & Prediction

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