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Qiziriq vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Qiziriq

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yaypan

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-112.1%0-29.0%0-34.5%0-4+2.3%1 1-08.3%1-112.3%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.2%2-16.3%2-24.7%2-32.3%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.4%3-12.1%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.7% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 42.3% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 12.1%

#3 0–0 8.1%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qiziriq1.0

Yaypan1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

QIZIRIQ · PPG 0.00

YAYPAN · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Qiziriq (H) 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yaypan (A) 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Qiziriq face Yaypan in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qiziriq a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Yaypan 42%, so Yaypan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Qiziriq and 1.5 for Yaypan (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qiziriq are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.86 for Yaypan.

Qiziriq vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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