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Jayxun vs FarDu Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 15 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 13:00

Jayxun

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

FarDu

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.6%0-25.5%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.8%1-111.4%1-28.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.5%2-26.2%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.9%3-14.3%3-23.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 32.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.8% — — —

Over 3.5 38.7% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.6%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.2%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jayxun1.5

FarDu1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.8% · O3.5 PROB 38.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JAYXUN · PPG 1.00

FARDU · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jayxun (H) 44.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FarDu (A) 32.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jayxun face FarDu in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jayxun a 44% chance, the draw 23% and FarDu 33%, so Jayxun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Jayxun and 1.5 for FarDu (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jayxun are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for FarDu.

Jayxun vs FarDu Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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