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Gazalkent vs Olimpik-Mobiuz Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 15 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 14:00

Gazalkent

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Olimpik-Mobiuz

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.2%0-26.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.4%1-111.4%1-28.8%1-34.5%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.1%2-17.9%2-26.1%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.4%3-13.7%3-22.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 41.5% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 41.7% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.6%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–0 5.3%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gazalkent1.4

Olimpik-Mobiuz1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GAZALKENT · PPG 1.00

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gazalkent (H) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Olimpik-Mobiuz (A) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gazalkent face Olimpik-Mobiuz in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gazalkent a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Olimpik-Mobiuz 42%, so Olimpik-Mobiuz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gazalkent and 1.5 for Olimpik-Mobiuz (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gazalkent are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.43 for Olimpik-Mobiuz.

Gazalkent vs Olimpik-Mobiuz Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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