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Shortan vs Kattaqurgon Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Shortan

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kattaqurgon

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.0%0-115.8%0-27.3%0-32.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.3%1-113.3%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.0%2-15.6%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.7%3-11.6%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.4% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 33.9% — — —

Over 2.5 36.5% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 25.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.0%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.8%

#4 1–0 14.3%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shortan0.8

Kattaqurgon0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.5% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHORTAN · PPG 2.00

KATTAQURGON · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.09, combined xG 1.77 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shortan (H) 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kattaqurgon (A) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shortan face Kattaqurgon in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shortan a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Kattaqurgon 34%, so Kattaqurgon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Shortan and 0.9 for Kattaqurgon (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shortan are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Kattaqurgon.

Shortan vs Kattaqurgon Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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