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Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Shortan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 14:00

Olimpik-Mobiuz

PPG 1.83 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Shortan

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.9%0-24.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.5%1-111.2%1-27.4%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.9%2-19.2%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.8%3-15.0%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.9%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 38.0% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 0–0✓ 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olimpik-Mobiuz1.6

Shortan1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ · PPG 1.83

SHORTAN · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Olimpik-Mobiuz (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shortan (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olimpik-Mobiuz face Shortan in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olimpik-Mobiuz a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Shortan 29%, so Olimpik-Mobiuz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Olimpik-Mobiuz and 1.3 for Shortan (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olimpik-Mobiuz are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.50 for Shortan. This match finished 0-0.

Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Shortan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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